GenCast
A diffusion model that produces an ensemble of possible forecasts, so it gives odds as well as a best guess.
- Made by
- Google DeepMind
- Field
- Weather and climate
- Learns from
- 40 years of ERA5 reanalysis
- Size
- Not stated
- Open weights
- Yes, CC BY 4.0 (weights)
- First public
- Dec 2023
- Source
- arxiv.org/abs/2312.15796
How it relates to Flare
Uncertainty matters as much in physics as in weather; how Flare will report its own confidence is an open question.
Links
Every figure here is from the source above, checked 17 October 2026. Something changed? Email [email protected].